Transcript:
Hey everyone it's
David Barnett from the investlocalbook.com blog site. This week our question of
the week comes from Phil who asked how can I determine if the asking price of a
business is reasonable or not. And it's a very difficult question for me to
answer because there are so many different ways that I can say ‘it depends.’ Or
there are certain circumstances that we have to look at. But let me try to
address it with some simple sort of guidelines that can help you determine if
the asking price is anywhere within some sort of ball park or not.
The first thing you
have to determine is what are they selling. Because if you are dealing with an
unsophisticated seller or someone who is using an intermediary that doesn't
know what they are doing, you could end up looking at something for sale which
is not purely a business. This would be what we call a recasting exercise. So
for example, is it a business but it also includes real estate. Operating
businesses and real estate are two very different types of assets. So somebody could
have a business with a free cash flow in your pocket of a $100,000 a year, and
they might be asking a million dollars for that business. And on the surface
that would seem very unreasonable but if you look under the hood and realize
that there is a seven hundred and fifty thousand dollars piece of real estate
included in that package, then of course that changes everything. And it could
in fact be a reasonable asking price. But you then need to try to determine
what's the building’s worth and what's the business is now worth based on the
business standing alone.
So you have to do
so recasting or normalization and look at that business outside of the real
estate with all of the direct cost that it would normally bear if it was
operating as a tenant. In general what you want to look for is, I'm I going to
be reasonably compensated for the risk that I'm taking in getting into this
business. So there are two different measures of cash flow that are often
looked at when people are evaluating businesses. And one of them is EBITDA, the earnings before interest taxes depreciation and amortization.
In the world of professional business appraisal practice, the EBITDA
figure or multiplier is only used when we are talking about
businesses within EBITDA of half a million or more. But you find that a
lot of the times people will use that type of measure for a much smaller
business. And what's interesting about the EBITDA figure is that, it's the cash
flow after the professional full-time manager has been paid.
So you need to make
sure that, that cash flow figure actually includes a salary for a manager and
that the manager is being paid a reasonable market rate. So for example if the
owner is paying himself $40,000 but a competent manager in that business should
earn 70, then you are going to have to adjust that EBITDA figure. And when you
look EBITDAs as a general across the board rule of thumb across all
industries which means this is a dangerous thing to look at in a specific
instance. But you're generally are going to be between maybe 3 up to 5 times
that EBITDA figure, is going to be somewhere in that realm of reasonable.
The other way to
look at small businesses is what we call sellers discretionary earnings, which
is the EBITDA figure with the owners salary added back. So if the EBITDA was
$200,000 and a fair market wage of an owner manager is 70,000, then the sellers
discretionary earning will be 270,000. This is the figure that is more often
used in evaluating smaller businesses. Because small business buyers tend to
look at a business acquisition as a mixture between an investment and buying themselves
a job. So that cash flow that goes into their pocket, they look at the whole
thing as the return on both their invested capital and their labour together.
So when we start looking at sellers discretionary earnings, that multiplier
could range anywhere from as low as one times to as high as 3 times, maybe a
tad bit more with most industries being around the 2, 2.3 area. But again these
are general rules of thumb. If you have a seller's discretionary earnings
figure of a hundred grand, and somebody is asking for 500,000 for the business,
what it simply says is that a combination of your labour and capital; you are
going to take five years to get that back.
And the problem
with small businesses is that it's very difficult to say with any degree of certainty
what the conditions of the business are going to be in five years; the market,
the environment, the economy etc. And so that's why when you are looking at
investing your money and your labour, most business buyers want to make sure
that they can recoup that investment entirely back to themselves within about
two years for example. Now that doesn't mean they are going to pay off the
business in two years but it means that they need to get that value back out
within that two year period. So I hope that gives you some ideas. It can be
really dangerous to apply these rules of thumb in a specific instance. So for
example if you went you and you valued a restaurant at the 2.2 times
discretionary cash flow, you would actually end up over paying for the restaurant.
It's a very competitive industry and people in that industry end up paying far
less because of the risks involved.
So I hope that
gives you an answer. If you want to really get in and understand how to do
this, then I suggest you take my course which is available at
businessbuyeravantage.com where we actually work through a step by step example
with a sample company. We look at the initial financials, we do normalization. We then do an evaluation of the business and
I explain why the multipliers that are put in place in that example are used
and how they make sense. So thanks and we'll see you next time.
Hey you made it to the end of the video.
That’s great. Don’t forget to visit www.investlocalbook.com
and sign up for my e-mail list. Thanks and we’ll see you next time.
The Invest Local Book blog is all about small business, franchises, local investing, home economics, small business systems and borrowing money for your business. It's full of great content and I look forward to seeing your feedback. Sign up for my mailing list and don't miss a thing! [CLICK NOW]
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